Geo Group, Inc. (GEO) vs. S&P500: A Comparative Analysis

After finishing at $14.06 in the prior trading day, Geo Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) closed at $14.74, up 4.84%. In other words, the price has increased by $+0.68 from its previous closing price. On the day, 6009157 shares were traded.

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Ratios:

Our goal is to gain a better understanding of GEO by taking a closer look at its different ratios. It provided that stocks Price–to–Cash (P/C) ratio for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is standing at 19.78 whereas its Price-to-Free Cash Flow (P/FCF) for the term is 8.77. In the meantime, Its Debt-to-Equity ratio is 1.46 whereas as Long-Term Debt/Eq ratio is at 1.40.

Upgrades & Downgrades

In addition, analysts’ ratings and any changes thereto give investors an idea of the stock’s future direction. In the most recent recommendation for this company, Northland Capital on October 02, 2023, initiated with a Outperform rating and assigned the stock a target price of $14.

On November 29, 2022, Wedbush Upgraded its rating to Outperform which previously was Neutral and also upped its target price recommendation from $10 to $14.

On June 08, 2021, Wedbush started tracking the stock assigning a Neutral rating and target price of $7.Wedbush initiated its Neutral rating on June 08, 2021, with a $7 target price.

Insider Transactions:

The insider trade also gives investors a glimpse into the future direction of stock prices, which can be beneficial to investors. A recent insider transaction in this stock occurred on Mar 14 ’24 when ZOLEY GEORGE C bought 50,000 shares for $12.48 per share. The transaction valued at 624,025 led to the insider holds 3,700,904 shares of the business.

Black James H. sold 5,672 shares of GEO for $67,792 on Mar 06 ’24. The SVP & Pres, Secure Services now owns 0 shares after completing the transaction at $11.95 per share. On Feb 28 ’24, another insider, March Shayn P., who serves as the EVP, Acting CFO & Treasurer of the company, sold 2,000 shares for $12.50 each. As a result, the insider received 25,000 and left with 60,758 shares of the company.

Valuation Measures:

Investors should consider key stock statistics when deciding whether to invest or divest. In the wake of the recent closing price, GEO now has a Market Capitalization of 1.86B and an Enterprise Value of 3.65B. As of this moment, Geo’s Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio for their current fiscal year is 20.56, and their Forward P/E ratio for the next fiscal year is 11.55. The expected Price-to-Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) calculation for the next 5 years is 1.37. For the stock, the TTM Price-to-Sale (P/S) ratio is 0.77 while its Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio in mrq is 1.44. Its current Enterprise Value per Revenue stands at 1.51 whereas that against EBITDA is 7.58.

Stock Price History:

Over the past 52 weeks, GEO has reached a high of $14.09, while it has fallen to a 52-week low of $6.94. The 50-Day Moving Average of the stock is 11.80, while the 200-Day Moving Average is calculated to be 9.25.

Shares Statistics:

The stock has traded on average 2.72M shares per day over the past 3-months and 3.66M shares per day over the last 10 days, according to various share statistics. A total of 126.09M shares are outstanding, with a floating share count of 118.90M. Insiders hold about 5.72% of the company’s shares, while institutions hold 76.47% stake in the company. Shares short for GEO as of Feb 29, 2024 were 25.41M with a Short Ratio of 9.35, compared to 23.12M on Jan 31, 2024. Therefore, it implies a Short% of Shares Outstanding of 20.15% and a Short% of Float of 29.08%.

Dividends & Splits

The stock’s 5-year Average Dividend Yield is 11.18. The current Payout Ratio is 0.00% for GEO, which recently paid a dividend on Feb 01, 2021 with an ex-dividend date of Jan 22, 2021. Stock splits for the company last occurred on Apr 25, 2017 when the company split stock in a 3:2 ratio.

Earnings Estimates

Its stock is currently analyzed by 4 different market analysts. On average, analysts expect EPS of $0.19 for the current quarter, with a high estimate of $0.2 and a low estimate of $0.18, while EPS last year was $0.22. The consensus estimate for the next quarter is $0.23, with high estimates of $0.25 and low estimates of $0.21.

Analysts are recommending an EPS of between $1.01 and $0.9 for the fiscal current year, implying an average EPS of $0.94. EPS for the following year is $1.28, with 3 analysts recommending between $1.47 and $1.1.

Revenue Estimates

4 analysts predict $603.85M in revenue for the current quarter. It ranges from a high estimate of $604.6M to a low estimate of $603.25M. As of the current estimate, Geo Group, Inc.’s year-ago sales were $608.21M, an estimated decrease of -0.70% from the year-ago figure. For the next quarter, 4 analysts are estimating revenue of $605.75M, an increase of 2.00% over than the figure of -$0.70% in the same quarter last year. There is a high estimate of $610.01M for the next quarter, whereas the lowest estimate is $600.8M.

A total of 4 analysts have provided revenue estimates for GEO’s current fiscal year. The highest revenue estimate was $2.45B, while the lowest revenue estimate was $2.42B, resulting in an average revenue estimate of $2.44B. In the same quarter a year ago, actual revenue was $2.41B, up 0.90% from the average estimate. Based on 3 analysts’ estimates, the company’s revenue will be $2.5B in the next fiscal year. The high estimate is $2.55B and the low estimate is $2.46B. The average revenue growth estimate for next year is up 2.80% from the average revenue estimate for this year.

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