Ratio Analysis: Unpacking ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ADR (ZTO)’s Price-to-Cash and Price-to-Free Cash Flow

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After finishing at $19.98 in the prior trading day, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ADR (NYSE: ZTO) closed at $19.82, down -0.80%. In other words, the price has decreased by -$0.80 from its previous closing price. On the day, 1.52 million shares were traded. ZTO stock price reached its highest trading level at $20.125 during the session, while it also had its lowest trading level at $19.79.

Ratios:

Our goal is to gain a better understanding of ZTO by taking a closer look at its different ratios. For the most recent quarter (mrq), Quick Ratio is recorded 1.04 and its Current Ratio is at 1.07. In the meantime, Its Debt-to-Equity ratio is 0.28 whereas as Long-Term Debt/Eq ratio is at 0.01.

Upgrades & Downgrades

In addition, analysts’ ratings and any changes thereto give investors an idea of the stock’s future direction. In the most recent recommendation for the company, JP Morgan on March 20, 2025, Downgraded its rating to Neutral and sets its target price to $23 from $25 previously.

On January 21, 2025, HSBC Securities Downgraded its rating to Hold which previously was Buy and also lowered its target price recommendation from $28 to $20.

Insider Transactions:

The insider trade also gives investors a glimpse into the future direction of stock prices, which can be beneficial to investors. A recent insider transaction in this stock occurred on Dec 02 ’24 when ZTO ES HOLDING LIMITED bought 200,000 shares for $19.00 per share.

ZTO ES HOLDING LIMITED bought 500,000 shares of ZTO for $10,490,000 on Aug 29 ’24.

Valuation Measures:

Investors should consider key stock statistics when deciding whether to invest or divest. In the wake of the recent closing price, ZTO now has a Market Capitalization of 16153062400 and an Enterprise Value of 11472382976. As of this moment, ZTO’s Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio for their current fiscal year is 13.39, and their Forward P/E ratio for the next fiscal year is 10.21. The expected Price-to-Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) calculation for the next 5 years is 0.96. For the stock, the TTM Price-to-Sale (P/S) ratio is 1.91 while its Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio in mrq is 1.85. Its current Enterprise Value per Revenue stands at 0.259 whereas that against EBITDA is 0.775.

Stock Price History:

The Beta on a monthly basis for ZTO is -0.02, which has changed by -0.06817114 over the last 52 weeks, in comparison to a change of 0.10063088 over the same period for the S&P500. Over the past 52 weeks, ZTO has reached a high of $27.50, while it has fallen to a 52-week low of $17.89. The 50-Day Moving Average of the stock is 1.32%, while the 200-Day Moving Average is calculated to be -5.08%.

Shares Statistics:

The stock has traded on average 2.64M shares per day over the past 3-months and 3781820 shares per day over the last 10 days, according to various share statistics. A total of 592.17M shares are outstanding, with a floating share count of 587.06M. Insiders hold about 0.86% of the company’s shares, while institutions hold 25.37% stake in the company. Shares short for ZTO as of 1741910400 were 15792011 with a Short Ratio of 6.38, compared to 1739491200 on 18332151. Therefore, it implies a Short% of Shares Outstanding of 15792011 and a Short% of Float of 3.9.

Dividends & Splits

In the trailing 12 months, ZTO’s forward annual dividend rate was 5.109, compared to 0.97 this year. Against a Trailing Annual Dividend Yield of 0.2557057

Earnings Estimates

Currently, 2.0 analysts are dedicated to thoroughly evaluating and rating the performance of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ADR (ZTO) in the stock market.The consensus estimate for the next quarter is $3.36, with high estimates of $3.53 and low estimates of $3.18.

Analysts are recommending an EPS of between $15.03 and $11.5 for the fiscal current year, implying an average EPS of $13.03. EPS for the following year is $14.6, with 16.0 analysts recommending between $17.16 and $12.89.

Revenue Estimates

3 analysts predict $12.09B in revenue for the current quarter. It ranges from a high estimate of $12.27B to a low estimate of $11.8B. As of the current estimate, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ADR’s year-ago sales were $9.96BFor the next quarter, 3 analysts are estimating revenue of $12.83B. There is a high estimate of $12.83B for the next quarter, whereas the lowest estimate is $12.82B.

A total of 24 analysts have provided revenue estimates for ZTO’s current fiscal year. The highest revenue estimate was $54.54B, while the lowest revenue estimate was $47.65B, resulting in an average revenue estimate of $51B. In the same quarter a year ago, actual revenue was $44.28BBased on 23 analysts’ estimates, the company’s revenue will be $57.48B in the next fiscal year. The high estimate is $62.44B and the low estimate is $52.31B.

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